After three years of decline, silver prices have been on the rebound in 2016. A weak US dollar, Brexit results and uncertainty over the incoming US president’s agenda have all impacted the precious metal prices this year.
The Investing News Network reached out to a number of companies in the silver sector to get their thoughts on 2016 and on what to expect from next year’s silver outlook. Impact Silver (TSXV:IPT) Investor Relations Manager, Jerry Huang, and Avino Silver & Gold (TSXV:ASM) Corporate Communications Manager, Charles Daley, were able to provide some insight.
A Look Back at 2016
Last year was tough for the white metal, but from the start of 2016 silver prices started to surge. The gold-silver ratio was at its highest in the first two months of the year since February 2008.
At the end of last year, Impact Silver’s Huang expected to see âsome light at the end of the tunnel for miningâ.
He highlighted the fact that in the final months of 2015 investors, who had averaged down, saw hundreds of percent gains in the first few months of 2016.
âFinally the high risks many investors had taken on the last four years had started to pay off in spades and we praise their conviction in the tangible value of many undervalued mining companies,â he added.
The unexpected outcomes of Brexit and the US presidential election, left the world uncertain about what may happen in the future. This political and economical environment turned investors to precious metals as a safe haven.
Silver prices jumped over $20 an ounce for the first time in roughly two years, after the United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union, and outshined gold in the post-Brexit precious metals rally.
But after the US Presidential election, although metals rallied, silver lost roughly 10 percent by November 25.
Avino Silver & Gold’s Daley agreed that this year, silver prices were affected by the uncertainty in the markets created by the lead up to the Brexit vote and then the US election, which saw precious metals appreciate significantly.
âHowever, following the US election the prices for precious metals declined significantly which came as a big surprise to many in the industry,â Daley said.
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The Year Ahead
What will happen in 2017 still remains to be determined, but proposed plans by incoming US President Trump could boost the metals market.
âWith Trump in office we already saw strong demand for base metals and infrastructure materials. We can foreseeably expect more fluctuation and âBlack Swanâ events, like Brexit and Election 2016, that tend to be great for precious metals,â Huang said.
âIt’s difficult to know what type of policies are actually going to be pursued by the Donald. That being said, Â Mr. Trump policies along with the Federal Reserve interest rate hike could be bad for gold and silver,â Daley said.
Trump has also promised massive taxpayer subsidized infrastructure projects along with lower taxes for corporations and the wealthy.
âIt’s hard to imagine how he plans to pay for all of this with a significantly decreased tax base, meaning it’s definitely within the realm of possibilities that there will be more financial turmoil ahead which has historically been good for gold and silver,â he said.
Everything will unfold in January, once Trump takes office, âIt will be interesting to watch safely from Canada the chaos that could follow south of the border after the inauguration,
âIt will also be interesting to see if anything comes about as a result of the recent revelations around the fixing of the silver price which has been quite prevalent in the news lately,â he added.
His predictions for silver prices in 2017 range-bound between US$14 and US$20.
Companies to Watch
Huang suggested to watch out for First Majestic (TSX:FR), that had over 110 percent gains year-to-date, and First Mining (TSXV:FF), over 147 percent gains year-to-date. He also said that it is hard to go wrong with Pan American Silver (TSX:PAA) as well, that reachedÂ over 118 percent year-to-date gains.
âYou have to give credit to the Silver Wheaton (TSX:SLW) team, that gainedÂ 36.63 percent year-to-date,Â and the creativeness of streaming royalties. The smaller start up Sandstorm (TSXV:SSL), that jumped to over 98 percent gains year-to-date, has also done well for investors this year,â he added.
In addition, Daley suggested investors to follow Coral Gold Resources (TSXV:CLH), that reached 358.33 percent year-to-date gains and is in the final stages of closing a deal with Barrick for the sale of the Robertson Property in Crescent Valley, Nevada.
Huang explained that investors interested in the junior mining should make educated investment choices, and that if they do âthe odds of success in this sector are very goodâ.
âI think it’s useful for investors to understand themselves. Why they are investing and what’s their time horizon and risk tolerance for this money,
âDo your due diligence and invest in companies where management are in the trenches with you and of course, be patient and set a realistic timeframe for your investment,â he added.
âDon’t try to time the markets, find projects and management that you like and stay the course,â Daley said.
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Securities Disclosure: I, Priscila Barrera, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
The Investing News NetworkÂ does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported in the interviews it conducts.Â The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do notÂ constituteÂ investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own dueÂ diligence.